Astronomers Sharpen the Universe’s Expansion Rate, Deepening a Cosmic Mystery

A team of astronomers using a variety of ground and space-based telescopes including the W. M. Keck Observatory on Maunakea, Hawaiʻi Island, have made one of the most precise independent measurements yet of how fast the universe is expanding, further deepening the divide on one of the biggest mysteries in modern cosmology.
Using data gathered from Keck Observatory’s Cosmic Web Imager (KCWI) as well as NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) the Very Large Telescope (VLT), and European Organisation for Astronomical Research in the Southern Hemisphere (ESO) researchers have independently confirmed that the universe’s current rate of expansion, known as the Hubble constant (H₀), does not match values predicted from measurements from the universe when it was much younger.
The finding strengthens what scientists call the “Hubble tension,” a cosmic disagreement that may point to new physics governing the universe.
“What many scientists are hoping is that this may be the beginning of a new cosmological model,” said Tommaso Treu, Distinguished Professor of Physics and Astronomy at the University of California Los Angeles and one of the authors of the study published in Astronomy and Astrophysics.
“This is the dream of every physicist. Find something wrong in our understanding so we can discover something new and profound,” added Simon Birrer, Assistant Professor of Physics at the Stony Brook University and one of the corresponding authors of the study.
The team’s measurement currently achieves 4.5% precision — an extraordinary feat, but not yet enough to confirm the discrepancy beyond doubt. The next goal is to refine that precision to better than 1.5%, a level of certainty “probably more precise than most people know how tall they are,” noted Martin Millon, postdoctoral fellow at ETH Zurich and the third corresponding author of the study.

